Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.598164 0.704639 0.822880 0.963683 1.126539 1.308728 1.527734
2024-12-15 0.525838 0.683060 0.873561 1.120347 1.430457 1.806006 2.293934
2024-12-22 0.424292 0.604055 0.840265 1.170883 1.618778 2.201104 3.011620
2024-12-29 0.360279 0.558735 0.839849 1.262223 1.874719 2.723310 3.978776
2025-01-05 0.304172 0.511876 0.827798 1.335104 2.118718 3.269647 5.069719
2025-01-12 0.249608 0.454761 0.788986 1.360879 2.298612 3.753304 6.149019
2025-01-19 0.206499 0.406007 0.753015 1.383471 2.476578 4.260417 7.341063
2025-01-26 0.179559 0.379022 0.747613 1.455151 2.745782 4.950429 8.923247
2025-02-02 0.168428 0.379011 0.789826 1.617891 3.197443 6.005614 11.256588
2025-02-09 0.147705 0.354760 0.781478 1.684868 3.486679 6.819320 13.282147
2025-02-16 0.123255 0.316363 0.737074 1.672777 3.623903 7.377030 14.921202
2025-02-23 0.100495 0.275732 0.679266 1.621681 3.674588 7.777597 16.317515
2025-03-02 0.081649 0.240009 0.626026 1.573514 3.730726 8.211234 17.867303
2025-03-09 0.073727 0.230162 0.630766 1.657090 4.083762 9.291370 20.849797
2025-03-16 0.060709 0.202596 0.586241 1.616268 4.153782 9.794976 22.718600
2025-03-23 0.053455 0.189453 0.575524 1.656210 4.416958 10.747948 25.659444
2025-03-30 0.046976 0.176691 0.562965 1.689141 4.669211 11.710969 28.744184
2025-04-06 0.040024 0.160120 0.535815 1.677751 4.809770 12.438444 31.393513
2025-04-13 0.034405 0.146198 0.513068 1.673955 4.969350 13.231765 34.292455
2025-04-20 0.031244 0.140147 0.513120 1.736172 5.314912 14.518668 38.508473
2025-04-27 0.030829 0.144565 0.547900 1.909378 5.991984 16.708562 45.146565
2025-05-04 0.028089 0.138741 0.547376 1.973798 6.373726 18.197855 50.225460
2025-05-11 0.024120 0.126254 0.520804 1.950051 6.497731 19.037259 53.771482